The probability of cyclonic development of the AL95 disturbance increases in the next seven days

An area of ​​low pressure formed from the tropical wave called Invest AL95 while the National Hurricane Center increased its probability of cyclonic development to 100% for the next seven days.

According to the 2:00 pm bulletin from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the system is currently about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands in the center of the Atlantic Ocean. .

“The low-level circulation is better defined than yesterday, with better organized rain and thunderstorm activity”reads the bulletin, which also added that conditions are favorable and the system is expected to become a depression or even a tropical storm in one or two days.

This system is expected to strengthen late in the week as it continues to track west-northwest at about 15 to 20 miles per hour over the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.

Although it is still far from the local area, NHC models place this system passing northeast of Puerto Rico.

In the 8:00 am bulletin, the NHC stated that The system had a 70% potential for cyclonic development for the next 48 hours, a margin that would increase to 90% for the next seven days. Its travel speed is 15 to 20 miles per hour (mph).

The meteorologist Robert Mitchell, of the National Meteorological Service (SNM), reported that although the tropical wave is distant, the models “move it very far northeast of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, but since it has the potential to develop in the coming days, we must monitor it closely.” ”.

This system is expected to be strengthening into a tropical depression by mid-week, with the potential for further strengthening by the end of the week.

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