He National Hurricane Center (NHC, in English) reported today, Thursday, that the area of suspected cyclone AL96 became this year’s tropical depression 14 this morning, in the eastern tropical Atlantic.
Nevertheless, The system could become a tropical storm as early as this afternoon or evening.. At that time, the phenomenon would be named Margot, which is next on the list of names for this hurricane season.
This system does not represent any threat to any territory. It is also not expected to move near the Caribbean during its time of cyclonic activity.
The cyclone has maximum sustained winds of 35 miles per hour (mph) and its circulation center is 160 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Specifically, the center is at latitude 15.7 degrees north and longitude 26.4 degrees west.
Its translation movement occurs to the west and west-northwest at 17 mph, according to the first bulletin for this system, published at 11:00 a.m.
The future storm could be capable of becoming a hurricane over the weekend, because it will find favorable environmental conditions for gradual intensification. In fact, some models project this system reaching force majeure (category 3 to 5), but the NHC did not include that possibility in its first forecast for this system.
For the first time, a tropical cyclone would be named Margot, which is the name included by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO, in English) to replace Maria, the name used for the catastrophic hurricane that hit Puerto Rico in September 2017.
The list used this year, precisely, It is the same one that was used six years ago, but with the changes included in the letters I and M after the elimination of Irma and Maria, respectively. The name with the letter I used this year was Idalia.
Carlos Tolentino Rosario is a journalist who covers weather, climate change and science, among others. He holds a certification in weather forecasting from the Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences at Pennsylvania State University (PSU). He is also a member of the American Meteorological Society (AMS).